Jon Lubwama
posted on Jan 23, 2023How do inflation and currency devaluation affect African startups on the investor front?
Inflation and currency devaluation are two economic factors that can have a significant impact on African startups that raise funding from foreign investors. These factors can make it more difficult for startups to generate a return on investment for foreign investors, which can make it more difficult to raise funding in the future. In this article, we will explore the effects of inflation and currency devaluation on African startups.
First, let's define inflation and currency devaluation. Inflation refers to the rate at which prices for goods and services increase over time. It is usually measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or the Producer Price Index (PPI). Currency devaluation, on the other hand, refers to a decrease in the value of a country's currency relative to other currencies. This can happen due to a variety of factors, such as economic instability, political turmoil, or a decrease in the demand for the country's goods and services.
Currency devaluation and inflation are prevalent issues for African startups due to a combination of structural and macroeconomic factors and also because of the fact that the majority of the big funding rounds are raised in foreign currency. One of the main structural factors that contribute to currency devaluation and inflation in Africa is the lack of economic diversification.
Many African countries rely heavily on a single commodity for export, such as oil or minerals. When global demand for these commodities decreases, it can lead to a decrease in foreign currency reserves and a devaluation of the local currency. Additionally, when a country’s economy is heavily dependent on a single commodity, it becomes vulnerable to price fluctuations and can lead to inflation.
In addition to structural factors, macroeconomic factors such as political instability and poor governance can also contribute to currency devaluation and inflation in Africa. Political instability can lead to a decrease in foreign investment, which can decrease foreign currency reserves and lead to a devaluation of the local currency. Additionally, poor governance can lead to a lack of economic policies that promote growth and stability, which can contribute to inflation.
Furthermore, many African countries also face the challenges of high levels of public debt, weak institutions, and lack of infrastructure which also contribute to these economic challenges.
European and American startups typically don't face the same problem of currency devaluation and inflation as African startups because their economies are generally more diversified and their financial markets are more developed. European and American countries have a wider range of industries, which reduces their dependence on a single commodity and makes their economies more resilient to external shocks.
Additionally, European and American countries have well-developed financial markets, which provide greater access to capital for businesses, and their banking sectors are more robust. Furthermore, their political and economic institutions are relatively stable, which promotes growth and stability in the economy. And the startups usually raise the funding in their local currencies, for example, USD or Euros. These factors provide a more favourable environment for European and American startups to raise funding and plan for the future, compared to African startups that face these economic challenges.
How do inflation and currency devaluation affect African startups?
One of the ways that inflation and currency devaluation can affect African startups is by making it more difficult for them to raise funding from foreign investors. A devaluation of the local currency means that the value of the startup's assets and revenue in a foreign currency will decrease, making it less attractive to foreign investors. This could make it more difficult for startups to raise funding from foreign investors.
For example, if an African startup is looking to raise $1 million from foreign investors and the local currency is devalued by 10% relative to the U.S. dollar, the startup's assets and revenue will be worth $900,000 in U.S. dollars. This can make it more difficult for the startup to raise the full $1 million it is seeking.
Inflation can also negatively affect African startups by eroding the value of the startup's assets and revenue over time. High inflation rates can make it more difficult for startups to generate a return on investment for foreign investors, making them less likely to invest in the startup.
For example, let's say an African startup is generating $1 million in revenue per year. If inflation is running at 10% per year, the value of the startup's revenue will decrease by $100,000 per year. This can make it more difficult for the startup to generate a return on investment for foreign investors, which can make it more difficult to raise funding in the future.
Another way that inflation and currency devaluation can affect African startups is by making it more difficult for them to repay loans in foreign currency. A devaluation of the local currency can make it more difficult for startups to repay loans in foreign currency, which could lead to default and a loss of investment for foreign investors.
If an African startup has taken out a loan of $1 million in U.S. dollars and the local currency is devalued by 10% relative to the U.S. dollar, the startup will have to repay the loan with $1.1 million in local currency. This can make it more difficult for the startup to repay the loan and can lead to default and a loss of investment for foreign investors.
Finally, inflation and currency devaluation can create uncertainty in the economy, making it difficult for startups to predict future revenue and costs. This can make it more difficult for startups to plan for the future, which can be a major concern for foreign investors.
An African startup that is planning to expand its operations in the next year will find it difficult to predict how much it will cost to expand and how much revenue it will generate If inflation and currency devaluation are high. This can make it more difficult for the startup to plan for the future.
However, African startups can take several steps to combat currency devaluation and inflation and to improve their ability to raise funding from foreign investors.
One of the most important steps that African startups can take is to focus on economic diversification. By developing new industries and diversifying their revenue streams, African startups can reduce their dependence on a single commodity and make their economies more resilient to external shocks. This will help to mitigate the effects of currency devaluation and inflation and make it easier for startups to raise funding from foreign investors.
Another important step that African startups can take is to focus on developing their financial markets. By working to improve access to capital for businesses, African startups can make it easier for them to raise funding from foreign investors. This can be done by working with local banks and other financial institutions to create new lending programs, or by working with the government to create policies that promote investment in the local economy.
Another important strategy that African startups can use to combat currency devaluation and inflation is to develop their foreign currency reserves. By building up their foreign currency reserves, African startups can protect themselves from currency fluctuations and inflation by exporting their products and services to other countries, or by attracting foreign investment.
In conclusion, African startups can take several steps to combat currency devaluation and inflation and to improve their ability to raise funding from foreign investors. These steps include focusing on economic diversification, developing financial markets, building up foreign currency reserves, and working to improve the overall business environment. By taking these steps, African startups can improve their competitiveness and make it easier for them to raise funding from foreign investors, which will help to promote economic growth and stability in their countries.